Thursday, October 17, 2013

Getting the percentages Straight

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I had a friendly argument with a player over the percentages of hitting a straight in a poker game last night. Not a large deal and we worked out the number perfectly and compared the pot odds to that number to make a decision whether it was an excellent play to name the raise or let the hand go. But our discussion shouldn't really has been about getting the percentages straight. We should always has been discussing the present dynamics of the game, the flow of the action, and the probabilities of knocking the aggressive player out of the tournament.

In a cash game you'll base your decision on just the odds, but in a tournament you may have more to ponder. I always consider the time I spent attending to the event, the cost, and whether I WILL BE ABLE TO rebuy (which I hate to do). So, the percentages aren't always perfect for my decisions because I hate to get bumped out of a tournament on a draw, especially if there may be any chance I WILL make my hand and still lose. For me, that's a complete disaster. After all my tournament Guru's Derek and Roger keep telling me to play for the win, not the general table. And, I'M willing to make a rather lopsided (odds wise) draw if I'm up against several players and my stack goes to either be gone or substantially pumped-up. Do you play your draws differently in cash games and tournaments?

In other odds and straights news, the sport of Straight Jack is finally hitting casinos. The sport was introduced in 2012 by SHFL Entertainment and has finally made its solution to a couple of casinos after undergoing a couple of tweaks. The sport is actually just standard blackjack with an aspect bet that pays for any two-card or better straight. However, because a 3-card straight pays 10-1 and a 4-card straight pays 50-1 (200-1 on a 5 card, plus the progressive jackpot), the player may forsake basic strategy rules and hit hands they otherwise wouldn't. And, whether the percentages are ideal for this sort of move, when faced with a cheap chance of improving an advantage from 2-1 to 10-1, and even 10-1 to 50-1, you will likely just need to opt for it!

I know I'll have issues deciding because I always base my blackjack decisions on odds, not hunches, but unlike the poker tournament where you get knocked out in case you don't improve your straight, in Straight Jack you have already got a guaranteed payoff for whatever straight you already hold, you'll only improve and receives a commission more. Aeee, what a dilemma!

By the way, you'll be able to catch Straight Jack at Talking Stick Resort and Casino Arizona in Scottsdale starting next week.


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Read More... [Source: About.com Casino Gambling]

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